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#1200151 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 PM 25.Sep.2024) TCMAT4 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092024 0300 UTC THU SEP 26 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 86.6W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT.......210NE 300SE 90SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 86.6W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 86.7W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.4N 86.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 25SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.5N 84.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 25SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 100SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 140SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 34.3N 84.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 70 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 36.7N 87.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.8N 88.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 36.7N 87.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 36.7N 84.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 86.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 26/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |