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Recon is finding Hurricane Helene continues undergoing Rapid Intensification, may now be a large Cat 4 and still intensifying. Catastrophic impacts are coming #FLwx #GAwx #SCwx #NCwx
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 15 (Francine) , Major: 393 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 52 (Debby) Major: 393 (Idalia)
Hur Helene
ADV#14A 8:00 pm EDT
28.7N 84.3W
Wind: 130MPH
Pres: 942mb
Moving:
Nne at 23 mph
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TS Isaac
ADV#4 5:00 pm EDT
37.5N 50.6W
Wind: 50MPH
Pres: 995mb
Moving:
E at 10 mph
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#1200369 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 PM 26.Sep.2024)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024
2100 UTC THU SEP 26 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 50.6W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 50SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 50.6W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 51.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 37.6N 48.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 38.2N 45.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 39.2N 42.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 40.5N 38.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.9N 35.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 43.0N 33.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 44.2N 27.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 90SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 45.5N 22.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.5N 50.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY