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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
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#1200455 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 26.Sep.2024)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024
0300 UTC FRI SEP 27 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 49.8W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 50SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 49.8W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 50.3W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 37.1N 47.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 25NE 50SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 38.1N 44.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 20SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT... 25NE 50SE 35SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 80SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 39.5N 40.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 20SE 15SW 10NW.
50 KT... 35NE 50SE 50SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 41.1N 37.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 20SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...165NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 42.6N 36.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 43.7N 35.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 46.0N 30.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 50.0N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.1N 49.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN