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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1200700 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 27.Sep.2024)
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Joyce Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112024
1100 PM AST Fri Sep 27 2024

...JOYCE HOLDING STEADY IN INTENSITY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 44.7W
ABOUT 1205 MI...1940 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Joyce was
located near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 44.7 West. Joyce is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and
general motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected
through early Sunday. A slow turn toward the northwest and north
is forecast later on Sunday and Monday.

Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds
remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in
strength is expected through Saturday. Weakening is forecast to
begin by Sunday, and Joyce could degenerate into a remnant low by
late Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg