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#1200741 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 AM 28.Sep.2024)
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024
0900 UTC SAT SEP 28 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 41.3W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 25SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 45SE 40SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 130SE 110SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 360SE 360SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 41.3W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 42.2W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 40.4N 39.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 25SE 20SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 130SE 110SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 42.1N 37.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 20SE 20SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 43.5N 35.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 15SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 44.6N 33.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 46.0N 31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 48.0N 30.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 90SE 90SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 52.5N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 80SE 90SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 55.7N 28.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 150SW 160NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N 41.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS