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| #1200777 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:33 AM 28.Sep.2024) TCMAT5 HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024 1500 UTC SAT SEP 28 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 39.7W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 40SE 40SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 70SE 80SW 40NW. 34 KT.......170NE 130SE 130SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 330SE 330SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 39.7W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.7N 40.4W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 41.4N 37.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 40NW. 34 KT...170NE 130SE 130SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 42.9N 36.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 130SE 130SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 44.0N 33.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 35NE 50SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 45.4N 31.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 47.1N 29.4W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 49.6N 28.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 90SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 53.5N 28.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 40SW 70NW. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 56.6N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.2N 39.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KONARIK/CANGIALOSI |
