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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
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#1200822 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 PM 28.Sep.2024)
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024
2100 UTC SAT SEP 28 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.3N 38.4W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 40SE 40SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 70SE 80SW 40NW.
34 KT.......170NE 130SE 130SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 360SE 330SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.3N 38.4W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.8N 39.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 42.5N 37.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 43.7N 35.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 44.8N 32.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 46.1N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 48.3N 28.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 50.4N 27.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 54.0N 26.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 56.9N 23.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.3N 38.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI