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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1200864 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 28.Sep.2024)
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Joyce Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112024
1100 PM AST Sat Sep 28 2024

...JOYCE EXPECTED TO BE A TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR ONLY A COUPLE MORE
DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 47.5W
ABOUT 1030 MI...1660 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Joyce was
located near latitude 20.9 North, longitude 47.5 West. Joyce is
moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general
motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected through late
Sunday. A turn toward the north and north-northeast is forecast on
Monday and Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast, and Joyce is expected to become a depression
by early Monday and then a remnant low by early Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg