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| #1200897 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 AM 29.Sep.2024) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024 0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 48.1W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 20SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..105NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 48.1W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 47.8W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N 48.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 20SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.7N 49.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 23.4N 49.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.6N 48.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 26.8N 48.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 48.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
