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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1200898 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 AM 29.Sep.2024)
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024
0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.6N 36.5W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 130SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 450SE 330SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.6N 36.5W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.3N 37.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 43.5N 34.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 44.5N 31.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 46.0N 28.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 47.8N 26.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 70SE 30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 49.9N 25.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 70SE 20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 52.0N 24.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 90SE 0SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 56.4N 20.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 60.3N 16.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.6N 36.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS