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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1200935 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 AM 29.Sep.2024)
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024
1500 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 48.5W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 48.5W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 48.3W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.1N 49.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.6N 49.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.3N 49.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.1N 49.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 25.2N 49.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 48.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE