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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1200980 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 29.Sep.2024)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024
2100 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.8N 34.7W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT.......200NE 130SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 540SE 420SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.8N 34.7W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 43.5N 35.5W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 44.6N 32.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 45.8N 28.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 47.4N 25.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 40SE 20SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 49.3N 24.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...170NE 30SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 51.4N 23.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...160NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 53.1N 22.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...190NE 50SE 0SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 57.9N 17.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 35SE 0SW 0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.8N 34.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/BLAKE