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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1201016 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 29.Sep.2024)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024
0300 UTC MON SEP 30 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.4N 32.8W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT.......200NE 130SE 140SW 190NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 540SE 420SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.4N 32.8W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.1N 33.7W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 45.1N 30.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 46.7N 26.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 48.6N 24.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 50.7N 23.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...190NE 120SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 52.4N 22.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...160NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 54.4N 20.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...190NE 50SE 0SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 44.4N 32.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY