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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1201058 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 AM 30.Sep.2024)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024
0900 UTC MON SEP 30 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.7N 31.3W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 80SE 90SW 60NW.
34 KT.......200NE 130SE 150SW 190NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 420SE 360SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.7N 31.3W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.5N 32.0W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 45.8N 28.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 47.4N 25.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 49.4N 23.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 100SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 51.3N 22.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...190NE 120SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 53.0N 21.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...160NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 54.5N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 44.7N 31.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH