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Helene after-Impacts still being felt in some areas. Area to watch for the Gulf Coast in the west Caribbean in a week to week and a half or so, with a 40% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 5 (Helene) , Major: 5 (Helene) Florida - Any: 5 (Helene) Major: 5 (Helene)
18.0N 43.0W
Wind: 85MPH
Pres: 980mb
Moving:
Nw at 12 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
10.6N 29.1W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1006mb
Moving:
W at 7 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
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#1201406 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 AM 02.Oct.2024)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
1500 UTC WED OCT 02 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 29.1W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 29.1W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 28.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 10.5N 29.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 10.2N 30.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 10.2N 31.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 10.4N 33.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 11.0N 34.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 11.7N 35.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 13.5N 38.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N 41.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 29.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN