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| #1201451 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 PM 02.Oct.2024) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Kirk Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122024 500 PM AST Wed Oct 02 2024 ...KIRK EXPECTED TO BECOME A LARGE AND FORMIDABLE MAJOR HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.9N 44.0W ABOUT 1330 MI...2145 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1165 MI...1875 KM ENE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Kirk was located near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 44.0 West. Kirk is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is expected over the day or so with a gradual turn more to the north-northwest and northward by this weekend. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast over the next several days and Kirk is expected to become a major hurricane tomorrow. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles (350 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Kirk are beginning to spread outward and could affect portions of Leeward Islands and Bermuda by this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin |
