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#1201560 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 AM 03.Oct.2024)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
1500 UTC THU OCT 03 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 30.8W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 30.8W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 30.6W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 10.1N 31.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 10.4N 32.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 10.8N 34.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 11.4N 35.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 12.3N 37.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.3N 38.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 15.9N 41.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 18.6N 44.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.1N 30.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY/E.ADAMS