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#1201602 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 03.Oct.2024)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
2100 UTC THU OCT 03 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 31.5W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 31.5W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 31.2W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 10.2N 32.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 10.5N 33.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 10.9N 35.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 11.7N 36.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.6N 37.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.7N 39.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 16.3N 42.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 19.3N 45.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.1N 31.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY/E.ADAMS