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#1201677 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 AM 04.Oct.2024)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
0900 UTC FRI OCT 04 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 32.5W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 32.5W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 32.2W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 10.1N 33.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 10.5N 34.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 11.0N 36.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 11.8N 37.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.0N 38.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.5N 40.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 17.5N 43.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 20.3N 47.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.8N 32.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG