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#1201710 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 AM 04.Oct.2024)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
1500 UTC FRI OCT 04 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 33.0W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 33.0W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 32.7W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 10.3N 34.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 10.8N 35.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 11.4N 36.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 12.4N 37.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 13.8N 39.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.3N 40.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 18.2N 44.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 20.9N 47.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N 33.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY