Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 
Show Selection:
Show plain - Location:
#1201825 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 AM 05.Oct.2024)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
0900 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 34.8W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 75SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 34.8W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 34.5W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 11.2N 35.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.1N 36.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 5SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.2N 38.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.6N 39.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.9N 41.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.4N 43.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 20.2N 46.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 22.3N 49.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N 34.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG