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| #1201866 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:00 AM 05.Oct.2024) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024 1500 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 95.1W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 95.1W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 95.2W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.5N 94.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.9N 94.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.8N 93.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 22.9N 91.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 23.4N 89.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 24.3N 87.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 110SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 27.0N 83.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 130SW 130NW. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 29.9N 78.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 160NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 95.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
