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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
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#1202097 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 PM 06.Oct.2024)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
2100 UTC SUN OCT 06 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 38.6W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 50SE 40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 38.6W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 38.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.9N 39.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.2N 41.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.6N 43.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.0N 44.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.3N 46.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.2N 47.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 22.5N 50.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 24.1N 51.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 38.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY