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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
 
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#1202304 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 PM 07.Oct.2024)
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024
2100 UTC MON OCT 07 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 90.8W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 905 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 155 KT WITH GUSTS TO 190 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 25SE 25SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 210SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 90.8W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 91.3W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.9N 89.4W
MAX WIND 160 KT...GUSTS 195 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 25SE 25SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.7N 87.4W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 45SE 45SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.2N 85.6W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.1N 84.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 65SE 65SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.9N 82.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...210NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.2N 79.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 30SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...250NE 170SE 150SW 170NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 30.5N 71.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...250NE 150SE 200SW 160NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 31.0N 65.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 120SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 90.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 08/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE