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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1202453 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 AM 08.Oct.2024)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
1500 UTC TUE OCT 08 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 45.6W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 40SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 120SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 45.6W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 45.1W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.5N 46.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.7N 47.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.6N 48.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.4N 49.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.6N 49.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.3N 48.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 30.7N 43.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 34.0N 36.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 45.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE