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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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#1202511 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:54 PM 08.Oct.2024)
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024
2100 UTC TUE OCT 08 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 87.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 918 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 87.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 88.1W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.8N 86.4W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.6N 84.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.2N 82.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...230NE 140SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 28.1N 80.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 28.6N 77.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 90NW.
34 KT...270NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.0N 75.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 130SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 30.6N 68.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 31.8N 60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 87.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 09/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG