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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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#1202559 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 08.Oct.2024)
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024
0300 UTC WED OCT 09 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 86.5W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 915 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE 150SE 360SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 86.5W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 86.9W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.7N 85.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.5N 83.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 27.9N 81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...230NE 140SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 28.5N 78.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 120SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.0N 75.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...270NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.4N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 130SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 30.4N 65.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 31.5N 57.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 86.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 09/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH