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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
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#1202671 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 AM 09.Oct.2024)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
1500 UTC WED OCT 09 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 48.4W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 25SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 48.4W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 48.2W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.5N 49.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.4N 49.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.6N 50.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.4N 49.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 40SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.7N 47.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 31.1N 44.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 50SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 34.5N 35.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 90SE 50SW 0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 35.9N 26.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 48.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN