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#1202818 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 PM 09.Oct.2024) TCMAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 2100 UTC WED OCT 09 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 49.0W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 25SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 49.0W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 48.8W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 22.9N 49.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.8N 50.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 25.3N 50.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.2N 49.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.7N 47.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 31.9N 43.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 90SE 60SW 20NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 35.4N 33.4W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 80SE 60SW 30NW. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 36.5N 25.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 49.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN |