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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1202908 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 PM 09.Oct.2024)
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 31
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132024
1100 PM AST Wed Oct 09 2024

...LESLIE NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE AND COULD MAKE A RUN AT MAJOR
HURRICANE INTENSITY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 49.3W
ABOUT 945 MI...1515 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 22.6 North, longitude 49.3 West. Leslie is
moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the
north and north-northeast with gradual acceleration is forecast
during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie could briefly become a major hurricane tomorrow
morning before rapid weakening begins and continues through the
weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles
(110 km). Saildrone SD-1036 located about 60 miles (95 km) northwest
of the center recently reported a sustained wind of 52 mph (84 km/h)
and a gust up to 66 mph (106 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 972 mb (28.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Papin