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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1202970 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 AM 10.Oct.2024)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 49.8W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 25SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE 90SE 135SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 49.8W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 49.6W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.6N 50.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.9N 50.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.0N 49.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.5N 47.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 90SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 32.0N 43.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 90SE 50SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 34.2N 38.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 90SE 70SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 36.5N 28.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 49.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI