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#1202972 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 AM 10.Oct.2024) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024 0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 80.5W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT.......180NE 170SE 110SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 480SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 80.5W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 81.3W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.3N 78.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 170SE 120SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 29.6N 74.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 150SE 150SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.6N 70.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.7N 67.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...155NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 29.9N 63.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 30.6N 60.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N 80.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 10/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |