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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1203029 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:33 AM 10.Oct.2024)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
1500 UTC THU OCT 10 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 50.4W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 25SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 50.4W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 50.2W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.0N 50.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.7N 50.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.1N 48.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.8N 45.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 90SE 50SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 33.3N 41.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 35.2N 35.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 80SE 70SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 36.6N 25.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 70SE 60SW 30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 50.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN