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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1203086 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:33 PM 10.Oct.2024)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
2100 UTC THU OCT 10 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 50.9W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 50.9W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 50.8W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.9N 51.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.0N 50.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.6N 47.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 50SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 32.5N 43.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 80SE 50SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 34.8N 38.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 80SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 36.1N 32.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 70SE 70SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 36.0N 23.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 50.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN