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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1203125 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:33 PM 10.Oct.2024)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
0300 UTC FRI OCT 11 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 51.2W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 135SE 120SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 51.2W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 51.1W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.9N 50.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.4N 49.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 31.5N 45.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 34.6N 40.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 80SE 60SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.6N 34.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 80SE 60SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 37.1N 29.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 51.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY