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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1203204 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 11.Oct.2024)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
1500 UTC FRI OCT 11 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 50.5W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 50.5W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 50.8W

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.4N 48.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 31.7N 45.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 70SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 34.6N 39.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 90SE 80SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.2N 34.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 70SE 70SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 36.8N 29.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 36.4N 24.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N 50.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN