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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1204165 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 18.Oct.2024)
TCMAT5

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152024
2100 UTC FRI OCT 18 2024

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 85.0W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 85.0W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 84.6W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.5N 86.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.3N 88.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.2N 90.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 85.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HOGSETT/CANGIALOSI