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| #1204340 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 PM 19.Oct.2024) TCDAT5 Tropical Storm Nadine Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152024 400 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024 Nadine made landfall very near Belize City around 11 am CDT (1600 UTC) with peak winds of about 50 kt. Since that time, the storm has been moving across the northern portion of Belize and losing strength. The initial intensity is nudged down to 40 kt, with the strongest winds likely occurring over water and along the coast. Continued weakening is forecast as Nadine moves farther inland, and it will likely dissipate on Sunday. The storm has been accelerating westward, with the latest initial motion estimated to be 270/11 kt. A slightly faster westward or west-southwestward motion is expected until the system dissipates over southern Mexico. Key Messages: 1. Localized areas of flash flooding are possible along the track of Nadine across southern Mexico, northern Guatemala, and northern Belize. 2. Tropical storm conditions are expected along portions of the coasts of Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico within the warning area through this evening. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/2100Z 17.4N 89.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 12H 20/0600Z 17.2N 91.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 24H 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi |
