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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1204380 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 PM 19.Oct.2024)
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Nadine Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152024
1000 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...NADINE EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS TO SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 90.6W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM W OF BELIZE CITY
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM WSW OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nadine
was located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 90.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A
continued westward to west-southwestward motion is forecast during
the next day or so. On the forecast track, Nadine is expected to
move across northern Guatemala and southern Mexico through Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is expected, and Nadine is forecast to dissipate
on Sunday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Nadine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml

RAINFALL: Widespread rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches, with
isolated areas of 12 inches, are expected across northern Belize,
northern Guatemala, and southern Mexican states from Quintana Roo
westward to Veracruz and Oaxaca through Tuesday.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Tropical Depression Nadine, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Bucci