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#1204380 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 PM 19.Oct.2024) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nadine Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152024 1000 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024 ...NADINE EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS TO SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.2N 90.6W ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM W OF BELIZE CITY ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM WSW OF CHETUMAL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nadine was located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 90.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A continued westward to west-southwestward motion is forecast during the next day or so. On the forecast track, Nadine is expected to move across northern Guatemala and southern Mexico through Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected, and Nadine is forecast to dissipate on Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Nadine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml RAINFALL: Widespread rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated areas of 12 inches, are expected across northern Belize, northern Guatemala, and southern Mexican states from Quintana Roo westward to Veracruz and Oaxaca through Tuesday. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Depression Nadine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Bucci |