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| #1204468 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 AM 20.Oct.2024) TCDAT5 Remnants Of Nadine Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152024 1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2024 First-light GOES-16 imagery and station observations suggest that the surface circulation associated with Nadine has dissipated over southern Mexico. Peak sustained winds remain 25 kt, mainly over the Bay of Campeche. The remnants of Nadine are moving toward the west-southwest at around 12 kt and they are expected to move into the eastern Pacific later today. The combination of the remnants of Nadine and influences from a Gulf of Tehuantepec gap wind event are forecast to result in the formation of a new low pressure system off the coast of southern Mexico in a day or so. Additional development is expected after that time, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the early to middle part of this week while the system moves westward at about 15 kt away from the coast of Mexico. For additional information on the remnants of Nadine as it enters the eastern Pacific please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php, and the latest updates in the East Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook on the web at hurricanes.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac. Key Messages: 1. Localized areas of flash flooding will remain possible in the vicinity of the remnants of Nadine across Belize, northern Guatemala, and southern Mexico through Tuesday morning. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/1500Z 16.5N 93.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 12H 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Landsea |
