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| #1204544 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 PM 20.Oct.2024) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024 0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 74.6W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 74.6W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 74.5W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.4N 75.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.9N 75.3W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.9N 74.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.4N 73.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.1N 72.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.3N 70.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 74.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 21/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART |
