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Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 26 (Milton) , Major: 26 (Milton) Florida - Any: 26 (Milton) Major: 26 (Milton)
16.7N 77.6W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 996mb
Moving:
Nnw at 12 mph
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#1206147 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 02.Nov.2024)
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Patty Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172024
300 PM GMT Sat Nov 02 2024

...PATTY STRENGTHENS...
...EXPECTED TO BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO THE AZORES
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.0N 32.4W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM WNW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 130 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* All of the Azores

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Patty was
located near latitude 39.0 North, longitude 32.4 West. The storm is
moving toward the southeast near 13 mph (20 km/h). A faster eastward
motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast
track, the center of Patty is expected to move near or just south of
the Azores tonight and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next few
days. Patty is forecast to become a post-tropical low by Sunday
night.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Azores tonight
and Sunday. For more information, see products issued by the
meteorological service in the Azores.

RAINFALL: Patty is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 2
inches, or 25 to 50 millimeters, across the Azores through Sunday.

SURF: Swells generated by Patty will affect the Azores over the next
day or two. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM GMT.
Next complete advisory at 900 PM GMT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi