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| #1207246 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:45 AM 09.Nov.2024) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024 0900 UTC SAT NOV 09 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 90.8W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 70SE 30SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 90SE 210SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 90.8W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 90.5W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.1N 91.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.4N 92.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.3N 92.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.7N 92.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 23.9N 92.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 23.1N 92.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 21.0N 93.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 19.6N 94.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 90.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY |
