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CATASTROPHIC FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ONGOING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA #SARA
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| #1207919 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:48 PM 13.Nov.2024) TCMAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024 2100 UTC WED NOV 13 2024 POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 79.0W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 79.0W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 78.4W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.2N 80.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.3N 83.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.4N 84.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.4N 84.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.3N 84.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.1N 84.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 16.3N 85.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 18.3N 88.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 90SW 100NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 79.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY |
