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CATASTROPHIC FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ONGOING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA #SARA
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| #1207988 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:48 AM 14.Nov.2024) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024 0900 UTC THU NOV 14 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 81.7W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 81.7W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 81.2W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.9N 83.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.0N 84.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.1N 85.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.9N 85.3W...NEAR THE COAST MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.9N 85.3W...NEAR THE COAST MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 10SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.9N 85.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 17.1N 87.8W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 20.4N 89.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 81.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN |
