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#1208078 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:45 PM 14.Nov.2024) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM SARA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024 2100 UTC THU NOV 14 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 83.5W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 83.5W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 83.1W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.0N 84.7W...NEAR THE COAST MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 20SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.1N 85.5W...NEAR THE COAST MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 20SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.1N 85.9W...NEAR THE COAST MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 20SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.1N 86.4W...NEAR THE COAST MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 20SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.3N 87.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 20SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.7N 88.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 19.3N 90.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 83.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 15/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |