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CATASTROPHIC FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ONGOING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA #SARA
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| #1208151 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:45 AM 15.Nov.2024) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM SARA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024 0900 UTC FRI NOV 15 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 85.1W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 85.1W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 84.9W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.0N 85.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.0N 86.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 20SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.2N 86.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 30SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.5N 87.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.0N 88.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.9N 90.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 85.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 15/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN |
