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| #1208589 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:33 PM 17.Nov.2024) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Sara Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192024 900 PM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA... SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 90.7W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM S OF CAMPECHE MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Sara was located inland near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 90.7 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion should continue overnight. On the forecast track, the center of Sara will continue to move over the Yucatan Peninsula through Monday morning. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is expected, and Sara is forecast to become a remnant low or open into a trough of low pressure by Monday morning. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key Messages for Tropical Depression Sara can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml RAINFALL: Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected over northern Honduras, with storm total amounts locally as high as 40 inches. The risk of catastrophic and life-threatening flooding impacts will continue, especially along and near the Sierra La Esperanza. Across portions of Belize, El Salvador, eastern Guatemala, western Nicaragua, and the Mexican State of Quintana Roo, Tropical Storm Sara is expected to produce an additional 3 to 5 inches of rain with localized storm totals around 15 inches. This will result in areas of flash flooding, perhaps significant, along with the potential of mudslides. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Depression Sara, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/205755.shtml? rainqpf#contents NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart |
