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#1236278 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:51 PM 28.Jun.2025) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Two Intermediate Advisory Number 1A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022025 700 PM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 94.7W ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Gulf coast of Mexico from Boca de Catan southward to Tecolutla A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 94.7 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or two. On the following track the depression is expected to make landfall along the Mexico coast on Sunday night and move further inland on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Some intensification is forecast over the next day or so, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm before reaching the coast of Mexico. The minimum central pressure estimated by Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance data is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Depression Two can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Two is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches, with maximum totals of 10 inches possible across the Mexican states of Veracruz, San Luis Potosi, and Tamaulipas. This rainfall may produce isolated flash and urban flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Depression Two, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical Storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area beginning Sunday afternoon. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven |