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| #1236416 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 PM 29.Jun.2025) TCDAT2 Tropical Depression Barry Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022025 1000 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025 Satellite and radar imagery show that Barry became less defined over the past several hours, and this has made the center difficult to locate. It is estimated that the system made landfall an hour or two ago, to the south of Tampico Mexico. Deep convection associated with the cyclone has diminished since earlier today. Strong westerly shear has apparently caused the system to weaken to a depression by the time it reached the coast. The current intensity estimate is set to 30 kt, which is in agreement with a Dvorak T-number from TAFB. Barry`s initial motion estimate is still northwestward, or 320/8 kt, while being steered by the flow to the west of a high pressure system over the central Gulf. This general motion is likely to continue for the next 12-24 hours, taking the system farther inland. Barry should dissipate over the mountainous terrain of Mexico on Monday. The primary impact with Barry remains heavy rainfall and flash flooding for the upslope areas of eastern Mexico. Please see the latest forecast rainfall graphic from the Weather Prediction Center International Desk for more information. Key Message: 1. Barry or its remnants will produce heavy rainfall across portions of northeastern Mexico through Monday. Life-threatening flooding and mudslides are possible, particularly in areas of steep terrain. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/0300Z 22.0N 97.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 12H 30/1200Z 22.7N 98.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch |
